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2024-12-14 12:02:28

Guotai Junan: Pay attention to the investment opportunities in liquor, beverages, popular food and other fields. Guotai Junan Research Report pointed out that 1) Liquor: Determine ahead of growth, pay attention to the wholesale price trend and the orientation of head liquor enterprises. The report end of liquor industry began to enter the downward period in the second quarter of 2024, and the bottom shock is expected in the first half of 2025. Sales are slowing down, inventory is passively rising, and the approval price is expected to be relatively weak. The Spring Festival in 2025 will experience a stress test period. In terms of price, real estate liquor > high-end > secondary high-end. After this round of adjustment, real estate liquor is expected to recover first, followed by high-end liquor, and the secondary high-end liquor is expected to recover for a long period. 2) Beer and beverage: the performance of beer is divided and the beverage structure is prosperous. In the third quarter of 2024, the number of trips in the summer peak season was stronger than the price, and the number of trips maintained a recovery and growth trend. The beverages with low-cost/high-frequency consumption characteristics benefited significantly and the demand resilience was prominent; The regional brand of beer performance differentiation is better than the national brand, and it is expected to be repaired under the low expectation in 2025. It is expected that the passive upgrading trend and regional brand advantages will continue. 3) Popular food: marginal improvement and structural differentiation. Mass food improved marginally in the third quarter, with obvious structural differentiation. The cost reduction is gradually reflected, low cost and low price become the trend, the advantages of high cost-effective products are highlighted, and the key layout is two ends; The valuation premium of growth stocks has been significantly digested, focusing on growth track snacks, and paying attention to adjusted condiments, catering supply chain and low valuation oversold and high dividend targets.Visionox: Chengdu Chenxian Micro-LED production line has entered the sprint stage of mass production and shipment. Visionox (002387) said on the interactive platform on December 13th that the first TFT-based Micro-LED production line in Chengdu Chenxian, a shareholding company, completed the equipment moving in in September this year and is now entering the sprint stage of mass production and shipment.Solar energy and other new companies have set up photovoltaic power generation equipment business. The enterprise search APP shows that recently, China Energy Saving Ledebao Solar Technology (Delingha) Co., Ltd. was established, with Du Hu as the legal representative and a registered capital of 1 million yuan. Its business scope includes: sales of solar thermal utilization equipment; Lease of photovoltaic power generation equipment; Ecological restoration and ecological protection services, etc. Enterprise investigation shows that the company is jointly owned by China Energy Saving Solar Technology Co., Ltd. and Qinghai Laidebao New Materials Co., Ltd., a wholly-owned subsidiary of solar energy.


The Hang Seng Index and Hang Seng Technology Index both fell more than 1%.Beijing Torch Science and Technology Innovation Fusion Incubation Center was established. Yesterday afternoon, the establishment of Beijing Torch Science and Technology Innovation Fusion Incubation Center and the "IQ Talk" lighting ceremony were held. Shan Zhongde, Vice Minister of the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, and You Jun, Member of the Standing Committee of Beijing Municipal Committee and Minister of Organization Department, attended the event and delivered speeches. Shan Zhongde said that the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology and Beijing supported the establishment of an innovative center for intelligent robots, and promoted the creation of innovative sources and application demonstration highlands for intelligent robots. With the joint support of Beijing Talent Bureau and Torch Center of the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, the construction of Torch Science and Technology College has achieved positive results. The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology and Beijing will continue to work together to forge ahead and create a new mechanism, new model and new benchmark for the integrated development of science and technology, talents and industry.Affected by martial law, the support rate of South Korean President Yin Xiyue fell to a record 11%.


Pacific Securities: The reversal of photovoltaic industry is about to focus on three directions. The Pacific Securities Research Report pointed out that with the continuous breakthrough of new markets and technologies, the new cycle of photovoltaic parity is accelerating, and the reversal of photovoltaic industry is about to begin. It is suggested to focus on three directions: 1) The new cycle of supply and demand is expected to start in 2025, the industry quotation and profit are expected to be restored, and the leading advantages will be gradually highlighted. In 2025, it is expected to usher in a new round of growth, including Longji Green Energy and Jingke Energy. 2) New technology fields with large cost reduction space and continuous technology iteration, such as GCL Technology and Perovskite, are expected to fully benefit; 3) The advantages of supporting facilities and leading enterprises are prominent, and emerging markets are expected to promote the rapid improvement of shipments and profits, and the advantages of leading enterprises will be further enhanced, and enterprises such as Sunshine Power and Foster are expected to fully benefit.The total output of automobiles in Shenzhen is expected to exceed 2.8 million vehicles this year. Last year, Shenzhen ranked among the "First City of New Energy Vehicles in China" with an output of 1.733 million vehicles. This year, the total output is expected to exceed 2.8 million vehicles, and it is expected to win the title of "First City of Automobile in China" again. (released by Shenzhen)Chief economist of CITIC Jiantou: More active finance and moderately loose currency are beneficial to both stocks and debts. Huang Wentao, chief economist of CITIC Jiantou, interpreted the Central Economic Work Conference and said that the meeting stressed that it is necessary to maintain stable economic growth next year, maintain overall stability in employment and prices, raise the fiscal and monetary adjustment to the strongest level for many years, and give priority to expanding domestic demand. The construction of modern industrial system focuses on new quality productivity, and the economic system reform has landmark measures to expand autonomy and unilateral opening up in an orderly manner to stabilize the property market and stock market. Stable employment and stable prices will bring about both nominal and real growth, more active finance and moderately loose currency, which will be beneficial to both stocks and debts, the stock index, valuation and liquidity will stabilize and rebound, and the bond market interest rate will have more downside. Looking forward to 2025, the 5% real and nominal GDP growth rate is the direction of efforts. The growth is more brought about by the domestic demand boost and two innovations, new quality productivity and new supply, industrial digitalization and digital industrialization, rural revitalization and new urbanization, Belt and Road Initiative and opening up, and the high-quality ending of the "14 th Five-Year Plan" started the "15 th Five-Year Plan".

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